Intra- and post-pandemic impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on Stanford Health Care.

Stanford Health Care, which provides about 7% of overall healthcare to approximately 9 million people in the San Francisco Bay Area, has undergone significant changes due to the opening of a second hospital in late 2019 and, more importantly, the COVID-19 pandemic. We examine the impact of these events on anatomic pathology (AP) cases, aiming to enhance operational efficiency in response to evolving healthcare demands. We extracted historical census, admission, lab tests, operation, and AP data since 2015. An approximately 45% increase in the volume of laboratory tests (P < 0.0001) and a 17% increase in AP cases (P < 0.0001) occurred post-pandemic. These increases were associated with progressively increasing (P < 0.0001) hospital census. Census increase stemmed from higher admission through the emergency department (ED), and longer lengths of stay mostly for transfer patients, likely due to the greater capability of the new ED and changes in regional and local practice patterns post-pandemic. Higher census led to overcapacity, which has an inverted U relationship that peaked at 103% capacity for AP cases and 114% capacity for laboratory tests. Overcapacity led to a lower capability to perform clinical activities, particularly those related to surgical procedures. We conclude by suggesting parameters for optimal operations in the post-pandemic era.

Comprehensive overview of the anesthesiology research landscape: A machine Learning Analysis of 737 NIH-funded anesthesiology primary Investigator's publication trends.

Background: Anesthesiology plays a crucial role in perioperative care, critical care, and pain management, impacting patient experiences and clinical outcomes. However, our understanding of the anesthesiology research landscape is limited. Accordingly, we initiated a data-driven analysis through topic modeling to uncover research trends, enabling informed decision-making and fostering progress within the field. Methods: The easyPubMed R package was used to collect 32,300 PubMed abstracts spanning from 2000 to 2022. These abstracts were authored by 737 Anesthesiology Principal Investigators (PIs) who were recipients of National Institute of Health (NIH) funding from 2010 to 2022. Abstracts were preprocessed, vectorized, and analyzed with the state-of-the-art BERTopic algorithm to identify pillar topics and trending subtopics within anesthesiology research. Temporal trends were assessed using the Mann-Kendall test. Results: The publishing journals with most abstracts in this dataset were Anesthesia & Analgesia 1133, Anesthesiology 992, and Pain 671. Eight pillar topics were identified and categorized as basic or clinical sciences based on a hierarchical clustering analysis. Amongst the pillar topics, "Cells & Proteomics" had both the highest annual and total number of abstracts. Interestingly, there was an overall upward trend for all topics spanning the years 2000-2022. However, when focusing on the period from 2015 to 2022, topics "Cells & Proteomics" and "Pulmonology" exhibit a downward trajectory. Additionally, various subtopics were identified, with notable increasing trends in "Aneurysms", "Covid 19 Pandemic", and "Artificial intelligence & Machine Learning". Conclusion: Our work offers a comprehensive analysis of the anesthesiology research landscape by providing insights into pillar topics, and trending subtopics. These findings contribute to a better understanding of anesthesiology research and can guide future directions.

Physical activity among pregnant inpatients and outpatients and associations with anxiety.

OBJECTIVE: Physical activity is linked to lower anxiety, but little is known about the association during pregnancy. This is especially important for antepartum inpatients, who are known to have increased anxiety yet may not be able to achieve target levels of physical activity during hospitalization. We compared physical activity metrics between pregnant inpatients and outpatients and explored correlations with anxiety. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a prospective cohort between 2021 and 2022 of pregnant people aged 18-55 years carrying singleton gestations ≥ 16 weeks. Three exposure groups were matched for gestational age: 1) outpatients from general obstetric clinics; 2) outpatients from high-risk Maternal-Fetal Medicine obstetric clinics; and 3) antepartum inpatients. Participants wore Actigraph GT9X Link accelerometer watches for up to 7 days to measure physical activity. The primary outcome was mean daily step count. Secondary outcomes were metabolic equivalent tasks (METs), hourly kilocalories (kcals), moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) bursts, and anxiety (State-Trait Anxiety Inventory [STAI]). Step counts were compared using multivariable generalized estimating equations adjusting for maternal age, body-mass index, and insurance type as a socioeconomic construct, accounting for within-group clustering by gestational age. Spearman correlations were used to correlate anxiety scores with step counts. RESULTS: 58 participants were analyzed. Compared to outpatients, inpatients had significantly lower mean daily steps (primary outcome, adjusted beta -2185, 95 % confidence interval [CI] -3146, -1224, p < 0.01), METs (adjusted beta -0.18, 95 % CI -0.23, -0.13, p < 0.01), MVPAs (adjusted beta -38.2, 95 % CI -52.3, -24.1, p < 0.01), and kcals (adjusted beta -222.9, 95 % CI -438.0, -7.8, p = 0.04). Over the course of the week, steps progressively decreased for inpatients (p-interaction 0.01) but not for either of the outpatient groups. Among the entire cohort, lower step counts correlated with higher anxiety scores (r = 0.30, p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: We present antenatal population norms and variance for step counts, metabolic equivalent tasks, moderate to vigorous physical activity bursts, and kcals, as well as correlations with anxiety. Antepartum inpatients had significantly lower physical activity than outpatients, and lower step counts correlated with higher anxiety levels. These results highlight the need for physical activity interventions, particularly for hospitalized pregnant people.

An immune signature of postoperative cognitive decline in elderly patients.

Postoperative cognitive decline (POCD) is the predominant complication affecting elderly patients following major surgery, yet its prediction and prevention remain challenging. Understanding biological processes underlying the pathogenesis of POCD is essential for identifying mechanistic biomarkers to advance diagnostics and therapeutics. This longitudinal study involving 26 elderly patients undergoing orthopedic surgery aimed to characterize the impact of peripheral immune cell responses to surgical trauma on POCD. Trajectory analyses of single-cell mass cytometry data highlighted early JAK/STAT signaling exacerbation and diminished MyD88 signaling post-surgery in patients who developed POCD. Further analyses integrating single-cell and plasma proteomic data collected before surgery with clinical variables yielded a sparse predictive model that accurately identified patients who would develop POCD (AUC = 0.80). The resulting POCD immune signature included one plasma protein and ten immune cell features, offering a concise list of biomarker candidates for developing point-of-care prognostic tests to personalize perioperative management of at-risk patients. The code and the data are documented and available at https://github.com/gregbellan/POCD . Teaser: Modeling immune cell responses and plasma proteomic data predicts postoperative cognitive decline.

Corrigendum: Advances and potential of omics studies for understanding the development of food allergy.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/falgy.2023.1149008.].

Reassessing acquired neonatal intestinal diseases using unsupervised machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Acquired neonatal intestinal diseases have an array of overlapping presentations and are often labeled under the dichotomous classification of necrotizing enterocolitis (which is poorly defined) or spontaneous intestinal perforation, hindering more precise diagnosis and research. The objective of this study was to take a fresh look at neonatal intestinal disease classification using unsupervised machine learning. METHODS: Patients admitted to the University of Florida Shands Neonatal Intensive Care Unit January 2013-September 2019 diagnosed with an intestinal injury, or had imaging findings of portal venous gas, pneumatosis, abdominal free air, or had an abdominal drain placed or exploratory laparotomy during admission were included. Congenital gastroschisis, omphalocele, intestinal atresia, malrotation were excluded. Data was collected via retrospective chart review with subsequent hierarchal, unsupervised clustering analysis. RESULTS: Five clusters of intestinal injury were identified: Cluster 1 deemed the "Low Mortality" cluster, Cluster 2 deemed the "Mature with Inflammation" cluster, Cluster 3 deemed the "Immature with High Mortality" cluster, Cluster 4 deemed the "Late Injury at Full Feeds" cluster, and Cluster 5 deemed the "Late Injury with High Rate of Intestinal Necrosis" cluster. CONCLUSION: Unsupervised machine learning can be used to cluster acquired neonatal intestinal injuries. Future study with larger multicenter datasets is needed to further refine and classify types of intestinal diseases. IMPACT: Unsupervised machine learning can be used to cluster types of acquired neonatal intestinal injury. Five major clusters of acquired neonatal intestinal injury are described, each with unique features. The clusters herein described deserve future, multicenter study to determine more specific early biomarkers and tailored therapeutic interventions to improve outcomes of often devastating neonatal acquired intestinal injuries.

Leveraging electronic health records and knowledge networks for Alzheimer's disease prediction and sex-specific biological insights.

Identification of Alzheimer's disease (AD) onset risk can facilitate interventions before irreversible disease progression. We demonstrate that electronic health records from the University of California, San Francisco, followed by knowledge networks (for example, SPOKE) allow for (1) prediction of AD onset and (2) prioritization of biological hypotheses, and (3) contextualization of sex dimorphism. We trained random forest models and predicted AD onset on a cohort of 749 individuals with AD and 250,545 controls with a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.72 (7 years prior) to 0.81 (1 day prior). We further harnessed matched cohort models to identify conditions with predictive power before AD onset. Knowledge networks highlight shared genes between multiple top predictors and AD (for example, APOE, ACTB, IL6 and INS). Genetic colocalization analysis supports AD association with hyperlipidemia at the APOE locus, as well as a stronger female AD association with osteoporosis at a locus near MS4A6A. We therefore show how clinical data can be utilized for early AD prediction and identification of personalized biological hypotheses.

RETRACTED: 60 Predicting chorioamnionitis using AI-based methods: a retrospective cohort study.

This article has been retracted: please see Elsevier Policy on Article Withdrawal (https://www.elsevier.com/about/policies/article-withdrawal). This meeting abstract has been retracted at the request of the authors. The team determined further analysis is warranted before the formal presentation of the results.

Multimodal machine learning for modeling infant head circumference, mothers' milk composition, and their shared environment.

Links between human milk (HM) and infant development are poorly understood and often focus on individual HM components. Here we apply multi-modal predictive machine learning to study HM and head circumference (a proxy for brain development) among 1022 mother-infant dyads of the CHILD Cohort. We integrated HM data (19 oligosaccharides, 28 fatty acids, 3 hormones, 28 chemokines) with maternal and infant demographic, health, dietary and home environment data. Head circumference was significantly predictable at 3 and 12 months. Two of the most associated features were HM n3-polyunsaturated fatty acid C22:6n3 (docosahexaenoic acid, DHA; p = 9.6e-05) and maternal intake of fish (p = 4.1e-03), a key dietary source of DHA with established relationships to brain function. Thus, using a systems biology approach, we identified meaningful relationships between HM and brain development, which validates our statistical approach, gives credence to the novel associations we observed, and sets the foundation for further research with additional cohorts and HM analytes.

Discovery of sparse, reliable omic biomarkers with Stabl.

Adoption of high-content omic technologies in clinical studies, coupled with computational methods, has yielded an abundance of candidate biomarkers. However, translating such findings into bona fide clinical biomarkers remains challenging. To facilitate this process, we introduce Stabl, a general machine learning method that identifies a sparse, reliable set of biomarkers by integrating noise injection and a data-driven signal-to-noise threshold into multivariable predictive modeling. Evaluation of Stabl on synthetic datasets and five independent clinical studies demonstrates improved biomarker sparsity and reliability compared to commonly used sparsity-promoting regularization methods while maintaining predictive performance; it distills datasets containing 1,400-35,000 features down to 4-34 candidate biomarkers. Stabl extends to multi-omic integration tasks, enabling biological interpretation of complex predictive models, as it hones in on a shortlist of proteomic, metabolomic and cytometric events predicting labor onset, microbial biomarkers of pre-term birth and a pre-operative immune signature of post-surgical infections. Stabl is available at https://github.com/gregbellan/Stabl .

Large-scale proteomics in the first trimester of pregnancy predict psychopathology and temperament in preschool children: an exploratory study.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the prenatal origins of children's psychopathology is a fundamental goal in developmental and clinical science. Recent research suggests that inflammation during pregnancy can trigger a cascade of fetal programming changes that contribute to vulnerability for the emergence of psychopathology. Most studies, however, have focused on a handful of proinflammatory cytokines and have not explored a range of prenatal biological pathways that may be involved in increasing postnatal risk for emotional and behavioral difficulties. METHODS: Using extreme gradient boosted machine learning models, we explored large-scale proteomics, considering over 1,000 proteins from first trimester blood samples, to predict behavior in early childhood. Mothers reported on their 3- to 5-year-old children's (N = 89, 51% female) temperament (Child Behavior Questionnaire) and psychopathology (Child Behavior Checklist). RESULTS: We found that machine learning models of prenatal proteomics predict 5%-10% of the variance in children's sadness, perceptual sensitivity, attention problems, and emotional reactivity. Enrichment analyses identified immune function, nervous system development, and cell signaling pathways as being particularly important in predicting children's outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings, though exploratory, suggest processes in early pregnancy that are related to functioning in early childhood. Predictive features included far more proteins than have been considered in prior work. Specifically, proteins implicated in inflammation, in the development of the central nervous system, and in key cell-signaling pathways were enriched in relation to child temperament and psychopathology measures.

Microbiome preterm birth DREAM challenge: Crowdsourcing machine learning approaches to advance preterm birth research.

Every year, 11% of infants are born preterm with significant health consequences, with the vaginal microbiome a risk factor for preterm birth. We crowdsource models to predict (1) preterm birth (PTB; <37 weeks) or (2) early preterm birth (ePTB; <32 weeks) from 9 vaginal microbiome studies representing 3,578 samples from 1,268 pregnant individuals, aggregated from public raw data via phylogenetic harmonization. The predictive models are validated on two independent unpublished datasets representing 331 samples from 148 pregnant individuals. The top-performing models (among 148 and 121 submissions from 318 teams) achieve area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) curve scores of 0.69 and 0.87 predicting PTB and ePTB, respectively. Alpha diversity, VALENCIA community state types, and composition are important features in the top-performing models, most of which are tree-based methods. This work is a model for translation of microbiome data into clinically relevant predictive models and to better understand preterm birth.

Large-scale correlation network construction for unraveling the coordination of complex biological systems.

Advanced measurement and data storage technologies have enabled high-dimensional profiling of complex biological systems. For this, modern multiomics studies regularly produce datasets with hundreds of thousands of measurements per sample, enabling a new era of precision medicine. Correlation analysis is an important first step to gain deeper insights into the coordination and underlying processes of such complex systems. However, the construction of large correlation networks in modern high-dimensional datasets remains a major computational challenge owing to rapidly growing runtime and memory requirements. Here we address this challenge by introducing CorALS (Correlation Analysis of Large-scale (biological) Systems), an open-source framework for the construction and analysis of large-scale parametric as well as non-parametric correlation networks for high-dimensional biological data. It features off-the-shelf algorithms suitable for both personal and high-performance computers, enabling workflows and downstream analysis approaches. We illustrate the broad scope and potential of CorALS by exploring perspectives on complex biological processes in large-scale multiomics and single-cell studies.

Digital health application integrating wearable data and behavioral patterns improves metabolic health.

The effectiveness of lifestyle interventions in reducing caloric intake and increasing physical activity for preventing Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) has been previously demonstrated. The use of modern technologies can potentially further improve the success of these interventions, promote metabolic health, and prevent T2D at scale. To test this concept, we built a remote program that uses continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) and wearables to make lifestyle recommendations that improve health. We enrolled 2,217 participants with varying degrees of glucose levels (normal range, and prediabetes and T2D ranges), using continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) over 28 days to capture glucose patterns. Participants logged food intake, physical activity, and body weight via a smartphone app that integrated wearables data and provided daily insights, including overlaying glucose patterns with activity and food intake, macronutrient breakdown, glycemic index (GI), glycemic load (GL), and activity measures. The app furthermore provided personalized recommendations based on users' preferences, goals, and observed glycemic patterns. Users could interact with the app for an additional 2 months without CGM. Here we report significant improvements in hyperglycemia, glucose variability, and hypoglycemia, particularly in those who were not diabetic at baseline. Body weight decreased in all groups, especially those who were overweight or obese. Healthy eating habits improved significantly, with reduced daily caloric intake and carbohydrate-to-calorie ratio and increased intake of protein, fiber, and healthy fats relative to calories. These findings suggest that lifestyle recommendations, in addition to behavior logging and CGM data integration within a mobile app, can enhance the metabolic health of both nondiabetic and T2D individuals, leading to healthier lifestyle choices. This technology can be a valuable tool for T2D prevention and treatment.

Quantitative estimate of cognitive resilience and its medical and genetic associations.

BACKGROUND: We have proposed that cognitive resilience (CR) counteracts brain damage from Alzheimer's disease (AD) or AD-related dementias such that older individuals who harbor neurodegenerative disease burden sufficient to cause dementia remain cognitively normal. However, CR traditionally is considered a binary trait, capturing only the most extreme examples, and is often inconsistently defined. METHODS: This study addressed existing discrepancies and shortcomings of the current CR definition by proposing a framework for defining CR as a continuous variable for each neuropsychological test. The linear equations clarified CR's relationship to closely related terms, including cognitive function, reserve, compensation, and damage. Primarily, resilience is defined as a function of cognitive performance and damage from neuropathologic damage. As such, the study utilized data from 844 individuals (age = 79 ± 12, 44% female) in the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center cohort that met our inclusion criteria of comprehensive lesion rankings for 17 neuropathologic features and complete neuropsychological test results. Machine learning models and GWAS then were used to identify medical and genetic factors that are associated with CR. RESULTS: CR varied across five cognitive assessments and was greater in female participants, associated with longer survival, and weakly associated with educational attainment or APOE ε4 allele. In contrast, damage was strongly associated with APOE ε4 allele (P value < 0.0001). Major predictors of CR were cardiovascular health and social interactions, as well as the absence of behavioral symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Our framework explicitly decoupled the effects of CR from neuropathologic damage. Characterizations and genetic association study of these two components suggest that the underlying CR mechanism has minimal overlap with the disease mechanism. Moreover, the identified medical features associated with CR suggest modifiable features to counteract clinical expression of damage and maintain cognitive function in older individuals.

Liquid-biopsy proteomics combined with AI identifies cellular drivers of eye aging and disease in vivo.

Single-cell analysis in living humans is essential for understanding disease mechanisms, but it is impractical in non-regenerative organs, such as the eye and brain, because tissue biopsies would cause serious damage. We resolve this problem by integrating proteomics of liquid biopsies with single-cell transcriptomics from all known ocular cell types to trace the cellular origin of 5,953 proteins detected in the aqueous humor. We identified hundreds of cell-specific protein markers, including for individual retinal cell types. Surprisingly, our results reveal that retinal degeneration occurs in Parkinson's disease, and the cells driving diabetic retinopathy switch with disease stage. Finally, we developed artificial intelligence (AI) models to assess individual cellular aging and found that many eye diseases not associated with chronological age undergo accelerated molecular aging of disease-specific cell types. Our approach, which can be applied to other organ systems, has the potential to transform molecular diagnostics and prognostics while uncovering new cellular disease and aging mechanisms.

Deep representation learning identifies associations between physical activity and sleep patterns during pregnancy and prematurity.

Preterm birth (PTB) is the leading cause of infant mortality globally. Research has focused on developing predictive models for PTB without prioritizing cost-effective interventions. Physical activity and sleep present unique opportunities for interventions in low- and middle-income populations (LMICs). However, objective measurement of physical activity and sleep remains challenging and self-reported metrics suffer from low-resolution and accuracy. In this study, we use physical activity data collected using a wearable device comprising over 181,944 h of data across N = 1083 patients. Using a new state-of-the art deep learning time-series classification architecture, we develop a 'clock' of healthy dynamics during pregnancy by using gestational age (GA) as a surrogate for progression of pregnancy. We also develop novel interpretability algorithms that integrate unsupervised clustering, model error analysis, feature attribution, and automated actigraphy analysis, allowing for model interpretation with respect to sleep, activity, and clinical variables. Our model performs significantly better than 7 other machine learning and AI methods for modeling the progression of pregnancy. We found that deviations from a normal 'clock' of physical activity and sleep changes during pregnancy are strongly associated with pregnancy outcomes. When our model underestimates GA, there are 0.52 fewer preterm births than expected (P = 1.01e - 67, permutation test) and when our model overestimates GA, there are 1.44 times (P = 2.82e - 39, permutation test) more preterm births than expected. Model error is negatively correlated with interdaily stability (P = 0.043, Spearman's), indicating that our model assigns a more advanced GA when an individual's daily rhythms are less precise. Supporting this, our model attributes higher importance to sleep periods in predicting higher-than-actual GA, relative to lower-than-actual GA (P = 1.01e - 21, Mann-Whitney U). Combining prediction and interpretability allows us to signal when activity behaviors alter the likelihood of preterm birth and advocates for the development of clinical decision support through passive monitoring and exercise habit and sleep recommendations, which can be easily implemented in LMICs.

Variability and relative contribution of surgeon- and anesthesia-specific time components to total procedural time in cardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Decreasing variability in time-intensive tasks during cardiac surgery may reduce total procedural time, lower costs, reduce clinician burnout, and improve patient access. The relative contribution and variability of surgeon control time (SCT) and anesthesia control time (ACT) to total procedural time is unknown. METHODS: A total of 669 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery were enrolled. Using linear regression, we estimated adjusted SCTs and ACTs, controlling for patient and procedural covariates. The primary endpoint compared overall SCTs and ACTs. The secondary endpoint compared the variability in adjusted SCTs and ACTs. Sensitivity analyses quantified the relative importance of the specific surgeon and anesthesiologist in the adjusted linear models. RESULTS: The median SCT was 4.1 hours (interquartile range [IQR], 3.4-4.9 hours) compared to a median ACT of 1.0 hours (IQR, 0.8-1.2 hours; P < .001). Using linear regression, the variability in adjusted SCT among surgeons (range, 1.8 hours) was 3.5-fold greater than the variability in adjusted ACT among anesthesiologists (range, 0.5 hour; P < .001). The specific surgeon and anesthesiologist accounted for 50% of the explanatory power of the predictive model (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: SCT variability is significantly greater than ACT variability and is strongly associated with the surgeon performing the procedure. Although these results suggest that SCT variability is an attractive operational target, further studies are needed to determine practitioner specific and modifiable attributes to reduce variability and improve efficiency.